Operational Excellence (OPEX) Daily Briefing – Tuesday, September 30, 2025: Wall Street and the Fear of Missing Data Amid a Potential U.S. Government Shutdown: An OPEX Lens for Businesses
Điểm Tin Operational Excellence (OPEX) Mỗi Ngày – Thứ Ba, Ngày 30/09/2025: Phố Wall và Nỗi Lo Thiếu Dữ Liệu Khi Chính Phủ Mỹ Có Nguy Cơ Đóng Cửa: Lăng Kính OPEX Cho Doanh Nghiệp.
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English:
1. Official Information
On September 30, 2025, international financial media simultaneously reported the risk that the U.S. government could fall into a “shutdown” (partial or full closure) due to disputes in Congress over the federal budget. If this scenario occurs, a series of government agencies would be forced to halt operations, including key economic statistical offices such as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
This means that critical economic reports—such as the monthly jobs report (Nonfarm Payrolls), unemployment data, and inflation figures (CPI, PPI)—would not be released on time. These are crucial inputs for investors, businesses, central banks (including the Fed), and even foreign governments when making decisions.
Direct consequences:
• Wall Street would face high volatility due to the lack of benchmark data.
• Investors would be forced to rely on alternative data (alt-data), such as credit card transactions, online job postings, freight transportation volumes, or even satellite indicators of supply chain activity.
• The risk of making wrong decisions would increase significantly, as forecasting models would no longer be anchored by official data.
This is not just an issue for U.S. finance but one with global impact, given that the USD and U.S. stock markets remain at the center of the international financial system.