Operational Excellence (OPEX) Daily Briefing – Tuesday, November 25, 2025: A Senate Move Sends Wall Street Surging: A True Recovery Signal or a Market Illusion?

Điểm Tin Operational Excellence (OPEX) Mỗi Ngày – Thứ Ba, Ngày 25/11/2025: Một bước tiến ở Thượng viện làm Phố Wall bật tăng: Dấu hiệu hồi phục hay ảo giác thị trường?

Welcome to my unique weekday article for the paid subscriber-only edition.

Operational Excellence (OPEX) Daily Briefing – issued on weekdays (Monday to Friday).

Điểm tin Operational Excellence (OPEX) hằng ngày (phát hành các ngày thứ Hai đến thứ Sáu).

This is the bilingual post in English and Vietnamese. Vietnamese is below.

Đây là bài viết song ngữ Anh-Việt. Tiếng Việt ở bên dưới.

English

PART 1 – OFFICIAL INFORMATION

According to reports published by Reuters in November, global financial markets reacted strongly after the U.S. Senate carried out a procedural vote that paved the way for passing a temporary spending bill aimed at ending the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. This bill is intended to provide operating funds for federal agencies through the end of January next year, temporarily restoring government operations and allowing thousands of furloughed federal employees to return to work.

Reuters noted that immediately after news of the progress in the Senate, the U.S. stock market surged. Major indexes such as the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite, and the MSCI World Index all recorded significant gains during the same trading session. U.S. Treasury yields also rose slightly, indicating that investor sentiment had been partially relieved after weeks of uncertainty caused by delayed economic data and disruptions to federal government operations.

What is particularly noteworthy is that the market did not wait for the bill to be finalized before reacting. A mere indication that the legislative process was “moving forward” was enough to trigger strong buying in risk assets such as equities and commodities. According to Reuters’ analysis, investors perceived this as a “signal of reduced uncertainty,” and the market responded immediately with price increases driven by expectations rather than new economic data.

The impact of this development was not limited to the United States. European, Asian, and several emerging markets also recorded strong gains, reflecting the global spread of recovering sentiment. The fact that the U.S. government was closer to returning to normal operations was significant because numerous delayed economic reports—such as labor data, retail sales, and industrial production—were expected to be released again soon. These are key data points used by investors, central banks, and businesses to make important decisions.

In addition to affecting market indexes, Reuters also emphasized the broader consequences of the prolonged shutdown. Thousands of federal employees were forced into unpaid leave, many benefit programs were suspended, public services deteriorated, and consumer confidence was meaningfully affected. These disruptions exerted pressure on cash flow across industries, increased corporate capital costs, and hampered market decision-making due to the lack of timely reference data.

When news of the Senate’s legislative progress emerged, investors quickly expected that this chain of disruptions would be resolved soon. The anticipation that economic data would return created a powerful psychological effect, triggering a broad-based rally across major global markets.

Reuters described the market during this period with two key phrases: “risk-on sentiment” and “uncertainty relief.” This explains why a step that functioned merely as a signal—not yet a final decision—was still enough to trigger a significant global reaction.

From a business perspective, these developments highlight a clear reality: financial markets do not react to whether the government is open or closed—they react to the level of uncertainty. When uncertainty decreases, markets recover; when uncertainty rises, markets weaken. This is a factor that every leader must closely monitor in order to adjust operational decisions, financial planning, and strategy in accordance with the broader environment.